Army vs Wake Forest 9/22/2012

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Army winning 42% of simulations, and Wake Forest 58% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Army commits fewer turnovers in 18% of simulations and they go on to win 57% when they take care of the ball. Wake Forest wins 67% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Raymond Maples is averaging 102 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (28% chance) then he helps his team win 56%. Joshua Harris is averaging 65 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (32% chance) then he helps his team win 72%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is WF -7

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